Daily Park Report: December 22, 2025
Magic Kingdom recorded a 10/10 crowd level yesterday—the highest possible rating—with median waits 68% above the 30-day average. This wasn't a surprise surge; it was Christmas week math. With Joll...
Magic Kingdom Hits Maximum Crowds While Party Night Reshapes the Resort
Magic Kingdom recorded a 10/10 crowd level yesterday—the highest possible rating—with median waits 68% above the 30-day average. This wasn't a surprise surge; it was Christmas week math. With Jollywood Nights occupying Hollywood Studios in the evening and winter break in full swing, guests concentrated at the Most Magical Place on Earth in numbers that pushed even low-capacity attractions into significant queues.
Clear skies and a comfortable 77-degree high created perfect touring weather, which only amplified the effect. When December delivers spring-like conditions during peak holiday week, guests extend their park time rather than retreating to resorts.
Magic Kingdom: Extreme Crowds Across the Board
The 25-minute median wait doesn't capture how packed Magic Kingdom actually felt. That figure represents a 68% spike above baseline, pushing the park into extreme territory. Peak hour hit at 1:00 PM with 40-minute medians across headliners—and the pressure didn't stay confined to the usual suspects.
Fantasyland absorbed unprecedented overflow. Under the Sea: Journey of The Little Mermaid posted 30-minute waits against a typical 5-minute baseline—a 500% increase for an attraction guests normally walk onto. "it's a small world" climbed to 35 minutes (250% above normal), and even Mad Tea Party demanded 20-minute commitments. These aren't just numbers; they represent a fundamental shift in how guests experienced the park. When filler attractions become bottlenecks, there's nowhere to escape the crowds.
Tiana's Bayou Adventure dominated at 55 minutes (nearly triple its 15-minute baseline), while Space Mountain's 84-minute afternoon closure from 3:36 to 5:00 PM compounded Tomorrowland congestion. Guests hunting for thrill rides found PeopleMover—usually a walk-on palate cleanser—requiring 15-minute waits.
Hollywood Studios: Jollywood Nights Creates a Heavy Day
Hollywood Studios hit 7/10 with 40-minute medians, running 15% above its already-elevated baseline. The Jollywood Nights hard-ticket event didn't empty the park during regular hours—instead, it concentrated day guests into a compressed touring window, with peak crowds hitting at 11:00 AM when medians reached 50 minutes.
This is the Jollywood paradox: the event technically removes evening capacity, but anticipation of that cutoff drives guests to front-load their touring. Families determined to ride headliners before their day ends create morning surges that rival typical afternoon peaks.
EPCOT: Festival Crowds Hit Heavy Territory
EPCOT posted 7/10 crowds with 24-minute medians—21% above the 30-day average. The Festival of the Holidays continues drawing guests, though the pattern suggests attraction touring plays second fiddle to food booth circuits. The Seas with Nemo and Friends at 20 minutes (300% above baseline) and Journey Into Imagination at 15 minutes (double normal) indicate guests seeking air-conditioned respites between outdoor eating.
Frozen Ever After had a rough day operationally, going down twice: once from 11:48 AM to 12:51 PM (63 minutes) and again from 4:18 to 5:42 PM (84 minutes). That's nearly two and a half hours of downtime for World Showcase's most popular attraction, likely pushing frustrated guests toward Test Track and Guardians of the Galaxy: Cosmic Rewind—though Guardians itself experienced an 18-minute morning closure.
Animal Kingdom: The Overlooked Alternative
Animal Kingdom registered 5/10 moderate crowds despite a 35% surge above baseline. At 33-minute medians, it remained the most comfortable touring experience across all four parks—yet guests largely ignored this opportunity, flocking to Magic Kingdom instead.
Kali River Rapids posted 40-minute waits (700% above its 5-minute baseline), driven by the warm weather making the water ride unusually attractive for December. DINOSAUR hit 30 minutes, double normal. Expedition Everest's 87-minute morning closure from 10:00 to 11:27 AM temporarily removed the park's signature thrill, but the 1:00 PM peak (60-minute medians) shows demand remained strong.
Downtime Impact
Yesterday's closures cascaded across every park. At Magic Kingdom, Space Mountain's late-afternoon 84-minute outage stranded Tomorrowland guests already competing for limited capacity. Guests who planned their day around an evening Space Mountain ride found themselves redirecting to an already-strained Fantasyland.
EPCOT's Frozen Ever After double-closure created the day's biggest operational headache. Guests arriving in World Showcase during either window faced a choice: wait for reopening (uncertain), abandon the attraction entirely, or join already-elevated queues elsewhere. Country Bear Musical Jamboree's 36-minute closure and Mickey's PhilharMagic's 27-minute outage added pressure at Magic Kingdom during peak afternoon hours.
Today's Forecast: Festival Crowds Without Party Competition
Tuesday brings a strategic shift. With no Jollywood Nights tonight, Hollywood Studios returns to standard operating hours—removing the compressed-day effect that drove yesterday's morning surge. Expect more evenly distributed crowds throughout the day.
The Festival of the Holidays continues at EPCOT, but without party-night displacement from another park, today's crowds should distribute more predictably. Magic Kingdom remains the riskiest choice; Christmas week momentum shows no signs of slowing, and yesterday's 10/10 could easily repeat.
Your best play: Animal Kingdom in the morning, then Hollywood Studios after 2:00 PM when Festival guests settle into EPCOT's food booths and Magic Kingdom continues absorbing the bulk of holiday crowds. Weather holds steady at 78 degrees with clear skies—another perfect touring day, which means no weather-driven crowd relief.
These crowd dynamics shift by the hour during Christmas week. Lightning Brain tracks the patterns in real time so you can pivot before queues build. Available now at lightningbrain.app, and coming soon to the iOS App Store.